Oil, relative strength and civil war mediation

How Does Relative Group Size Affect Civil War Risk?

The literature on social polarization predicts that redistributive conflicts will be most intense in societies with two equally large groups. However, the effect of relative group size on the risk of onset of violent conflict remains unexplored. In this paper we study a game between a rentextracting government and an excluded social group which can explain the determinants of conflict onset and...

Globalization and Civil War

Conditional Relationships and Civil War

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Poverty, Militarism and Civil War

This article summarizes an empirical investigation of the link between poverty and the incidence of civil war. The thesis examined is a simple one: at the individual level, low living standards tend to enhance militaristic nationalism and confidence in the armed forces and therefore, on average, more support for attempting military solutions to social conflicts. At the national level this means...

Civil War and Foreign Influence∗

We use different variations of the canonical bargaining model of civil war to illustrate why a potential alliance with a third (foreign) party that affects the probability of winning the conflict can trigger or prolong an already existing civil war. We explore both political and economic incentives for a third party to intervene. The explicit consideration of political incentives leads to two p...